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February 11, 2024
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7
 min read

How to use Estimated Moving Averages

Everything EMA's, how to use, calculate and trade

How to use Estimated Moving Averages

Everything EMAs

Notes:

These indicators and concepts are specifically designed for TradingView.com

To begin lets learn how the rudimentary EMA's work and how they are calculated, then at the bottom you will find smart EMA indicators. We have placed the smart EMAs at the bottom intentionally as we believe that a basic understanding of traditional EMA's is important.

Example of a traditional EMA

How do EMA's Work?

Think of it like a filter that helps you smooth out fluctuations in the market and identify potential trends. The EMA works by taking a certain period of time (e.g., 10 days) and calculating the average price for that period. But, unlike a regular moving average, the EMA places more emphasis on the most recent price data points by using a special calculation formula. This calculation gives more weight to the most recent prices while still including the older ones. This can help traders identify changes in the trend and potential buying or selling opportunities.

Tips for Effective Trading

When it comes to trading, using exponential moving averages (EMAs) and understanding volume are essential to success. EMAs help to identify the trend and provide signals for entry and exit points. However, using EMAs alone can lead to false signals and fakeouts. Understanding volume and its relationship with EMAs can help prevent fakeouts and improve trading decisions.

The Importance of Volume

Volume is the number of shares traded in a particular market during a specific period. It is a critical indicator of market sentiment and helps traders identify the strength of a trend. High volume indicates strong market participation, while low volume indicates a lack of interest.

Type in Volume in indicators to apply

The tallest histograms represent areas with lots of volume. (Green histograms are lots of buy orders, red for sell orders)

Volume and EMAs

When trading with EMAs, it is essential to understand that fakeouts can occur. A fakeout happens when a security appears to break through an EMA, but then quickly reverses and moves in the opposite direction. One way to prevent fakeouts is to look at the volume when the price is testing an EMA. If the volume is high, it can confirm the strength of the trend and reduce the likelihood of a fakeout. To effectively trade with EMAs and volume, it is crucial to choose the right time to enter and exit the market. Trading during high volume times like the US Open can increase the probability of success. During these times, the market is more active, and there is more significant price movement, making it easier to identify trends and get accurate signals from EMAs.

How are EMAs calculated?

To create an EMA, you will need to first decide on a time frame, which represents the number of periods used in the calculation. The most common time frames used by traders are 20, 50, and 200 periods. Once you have chosen a time frame, you can then calculate the EMA.

The EMA calculation takes into account the most recent closing prices, with greater weight given to the more recent prices. The formula for calculating an EMA is:

EMA = (Current Price * (2 / (Time Period + 1))) + (EMA of Previous Period * (1 - (2 / (Time Period + 1))))

To calculate the first EMA in a series, you will need to use a simple moving average for the first period. After that, you can use the previous EMA value to calculate the current EMA.

EMA pulls data from the closing price of a financial asset over a specified time period. For example, if you are calculating a 20-period EMA on a daily chart of a stock, you will use the closing price for each of the past 20 trading days. Traders use EMA in a variety of ways to identify trends and potential trading opportunities. One common approach is to look for crossovers between the EMA and the price of the asset. When the price crosses above the EMA, this can be a signal that the trend is shifting from bearish to bullish, while a crossover below the EMA can signal a shift from bullish to bearish. Another approach is to use multiple EMAs with different time frames to identify trends and potential trading opportunities. For example, you could use a shorter-term EMA, such as a 20-period EMA, along with a longer-term EMA, such as a 50-period EMA, to identify potential trading opportunities. When the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, this can be a signal to go long, while a crossover below the longer-term EMA can be a signal to go short. Traders can also use EMA as a way to manage risk by setting stop loss levels. For example, you could use the EMA as a dynamic support level and set your stop loss just below the EMA. This can help you stay in a trade as long as the trend remains intact, while also limiting your potential losses if the trend begins to reverse.

Smart EMA

Go to INDICATORS and type in EMA

Smart EMA in indicators

How to use:

This is a triple EMA visualization tool that provides relative momentum across three time frames in the form of A/B/C waves. When all the waves are in the same direction, the momentum is very high in that direction. This allows for a simpler view of traditional ema's as well as providing the ability to detect fake outs which you previously couldn't with traditional EMA's as momentum wasn't visualized. Basically if all of the waves are pointing a certain direction, whatever that direction is the momentum is headed in that direction.

Smart EMA (Plots 3 different EMA's that are adjustable, when all 3 are in same direction, momentum is strong

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